Combining maternal age and serum alpha-fetoprotein to predict the risk of Down syndrome

Obstet Gynecol. 1986 Aug;68(2):177-80.

Abstract

Twenty-eight cases of Down syndrome with maternal serum alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) measured at second trimester were added to 137 previously reported cases. Seventy-eight percent of affected pregnancies had levels at or below the median AFP value, compared with 50% of unaffected pregnancies. Maternal age at delivery and serum AFP levels by multiples of the median were used to construct a table to determine the risk of Down syndrome. This was compared with the risk for a 35-year-old woman (one in 365). Similar risks were estimated for a 21-year-old with AFP below 0.4 multiples of the median, a 23-year-old below 0.5, a 26-year-old below 0.6, and a 29-year-old below 0.7 multiples of the median. This study provides guidelines for counseling pregnant women who have low serum AFP levels.

Publication types

  • Comparative Study
  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't
  • Research Support, U.S. Gov't, P.H.S.

MeSH terms

  • Adult
  • Down Syndrome / diagnosis
  • Down Syndrome / epidemiology
  • Down Syndrome / genetics*
  • Female
  • Genetic Counseling*
  • Humans
  • Maternal Age*
  • Pregnancy
  • Pregnancy, High-Risk*
  • Risk
  • alpha-Fetoproteins / analysis*

Substances

  • alpha-Fetoproteins