Changing incidence of myeloproliferative neoplasms: trends and subgroup risk profiles in the USA, 1973-2011

J Cancer Res Clin Oncol. 2015 Dec;141(12):2131-8. doi: 10.1007/s00432-015-1983-5. Epub 2015 May 13.

Abstract

Purpose: Recent diagnostic and cancer reporting changes influencing myeloproliferative neoplasms (MPNs) encourage the assessment of trends and examination of the recently identified MPN subtypes: polycythemia vera (PV), essential thrombocythemia (ET), and primary myelofibrosis (PMF), across the age continuum by race and ethnicity.

Methods: Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results data provided MPN incidence data since 1973 and MPN subtype data since 2001. Joinpoint regression estimated annual percent changes. Poisson regression estimated risk ratios.

Results: The 2005 JAK2 V617F discovery and the 2008 WHO diagnostic guideline for the JAK2 V617F mutation coincide with a 31 % increase in ET and a 21 % decrease in PV incidence rates. We found that younger women had a 13-33 % higher ET risk and that women under the age of 34 had a 58 % higher PMF risk, relative to men. Blacks, aged 35-49 with a higher ET risk, also had a 69 % higher PMF risk relative to whites.

Conclusion: Demographic characteristic of ET and PMF patients may be useful for improving risk prediction and informing clinical screening and treatment strategies. Changing guidelines, new discoveries, and in-depth analysis of a large population-based study have implications for accurately identifying incident cases of MPNs, MPN subgroups, and health resource planning.

Keywords: Essential thrombocythemia; Incidence; Myeloproliferative neoplasm; Polycythemia vera; Primary myelofibrosis; Trends.

MeSH terms

  • Adult
  • Aged
  • Female
  • Follow-Up Studies
  • Humans
  • Incidence
  • Janus Kinase 2 / genetics*
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Mutation / genetics*
  • Myeloproliferative Disorders / epidemiology*
  • Myeloproliferative Disorders / genetics
  • Myeloproliferative Disorders / pathology
  • Neoplasm Staging
  • Polycythemia Vera / epidemiology*
  • Polycythemia Vera / genetics
  • Polycythemia Vera / pathology
  • Primary Myelofibrosis / epidemiology*
  • Primary Myelofibrosis / genetics
  • Primary Myelofibrosis / pathology
  • Prognosis
  • Risk Factors
  • SEER Program
  • Thrombocythemia, Essential / epidemiology*
  • Thrombocythemia, Essential / genetics
  • Thrombocythemia, Essential / pathology
  • Time Factors
  • United States / epidemiology

Substances

  • JAK2 protein, human
  • Janus Kinase 2