Aim: This study aims to compare clinical and economic outcomes of CYP2C9 and VKORC1 genotype-guided (PG-DOAC) versus universal use of direct oral anticoagulant (DOAC) for stroke prevention in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF).
Methods: Outcomes of oral anticoagulation therapy were simulated using life-long Markov modeling. In PG-DOAC, patients with genotype of high or low warfarin sensitivity were treated with DOAC, and patients with normal warfarin sensitivity genotype received warfarin.
Results: Expected quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) and cost of DOAC were higher than PG-DOAC. Incremental cost per QALY (ICER) of DOAC versus PG-DOAC was 314,129 USD/QALY, exceeding willingness-to-pay threshold (50,000 USD/QALY).
Conclusion: Using individual genotype to guide the use of DOAC versus warfarin appears to be the preferred strategy.
Keywords: CYP2C9; VKORC1; atrial fibrillation; cost–effectiveness analysis; direct oral anticoagulant; genotype-guided therapy; warfarin.