Objective: Identifying groups of individuals with similar patterns of body mass index (BMI) change during childhood may increase understanding of the relationship between childhood BMI and adult health.
Methods: Discrete classes of BMI z-score change were determined in 1,920 American Indian children with at least four non diabetic health examinations between the ages of 2 and 18 years using latent class trajectory analysis. In subsets of subjects, data were available for melanocortin-4 receptor (MC4R) sequencing; in utero exposure to type 2 diabetes (T2D); or, as adults, oral glucose tolerance tests, onset of T2D, or body composition.
Results: Six separate groups were identified. Individuals with a more modern birth year, an MC4R mutation, or in utero exposure to T2D were clustered in the two groups with high increasing and chronic overweight z-scores (P < 0.0001). The z-score classes predicted adult percent fat (P < 0.0001, partial r(2) = 0.18 adjusted for covariates). There was a greater risk for T2D, independent from adult BMI, in three classes (lean increasing to overweight, high increasing, and chronic overweight z-scores) compared to the two leanest groups (respectively: HRR= 3.2, P = 0.01; 6.0, P = 0.0003; 11.6, P < 0.0001).
Conclusions: Distinct patterns of childhood BMI z-score change associate with adult adiposity and may impact risk of T2D.
© 2015 The Obesity Society.