Serum interleukin-1 is a new biomarker to predict the risk of rebleeding of ruptured intracranial aneurysm after admission

Interleukin-1 (IL-1) could induce inflammation of the aneurysm wall, which might be related to intracranial aneurysm rupture. The aim of this study was to investigate whether IL-1 could serve as a biomarker to predict the risk of rebleeding after admission. Data between January 2018 and September 2020 were collected from patients with ruptured intracranial aneurysms (RIAs) and were retrospectively reviewed. The serum IL-1β and IL-1ra levels were detected using a panel, and IL-1 ratio was calculated as the log10 (IL-1ra/IL-1β). The predictive accuracy of IL-1 compared with previous clinical morphology (CM) model and other risk factors were evaluated by the c-statistic. Five hundred thirty-eight patients were finally included in the study, with 86 rebleeding RIAs. The multivariate Cox analysis confirmed aspect ratio (AR) > 1.6 (hazard ratio (HR), 4.89 [95%CI, 2.76-8.64], P < 0.001), size ratio (SR) > 3.0 (HR, 2.40 [95%CI, 1.34-4.29], P = 0.003), higher serum IL-1β (HR, 1.88 [95%CI, 1.27-2.78], P = 0.002), and lower serum IL-1ra (HR, 0.67 [95%CI, 0.56-0.79], P < 0.001) as the independent risk factors for rebleeding after admission. According to the c-statistics, the IL-1 ratio had the highest predictive accuracy (0.82), followed by IL-1ra and IL-1β (0.80), AR > 1.6 (0.79), IL-1ra (0.78), IL-1β (0.74), and SR > 3.0 (0.56), respectively. Subgroup analysis based on AR and SR presented similar results. The model combining IL-1 ratio and CM model showed higher predictive accuracy for the rebleeding after admission (c-statistic, 0.90). Serum IL-1, especially IL-1 ratio, could serve as a biomarker to predict the risk of rebleeding after admission.