The predictive value of the change of the number of pixels under different CT value intervals in the CT-occult central lung squamous cell carcinoma and squamous epithelial precancerous lesions

Background: Due to the fact that the CT-occult central lung squamous cell carcinoma and squamous epithelial precancerous lesions. (CT-occult CLSCC and SEPL) cannot be detected by lung CT screening, early and timely diagnosis of central lung cancer becomes very difficult, which directly affects the prognosis of patients.

Methods: We retrospectively review medical records of patients at the Zhejiang Cancer Hospital and enrolled 41 patients with the CT-occult CLSCC and SEPL and 48 patients without the CT-occult CLSCC and SEPL. We compare the clinical characteristics, imaging features and Changes in the number of pixels under different CT value intervals of patients with and without the CT-occult CLSCC and SEPL and we perform univariate and multivariate logistic regression analysis to explore independent factors for the CT-occult CLSCC and SEPL in the patients.

Results: We demonstrate that pack-years ≥ 20 (OR: 3.848, 95% CI: 1.086 ~ 13.633), the number of pixels change of CT value in interval [-850 ~ -750HU] (OR: 5.302, 95% CI: 1.122 ~ 25.057) and in interval [-900 ~ -850HU] (OR: 3.478, 95% CI: 1.167 ~ 10.365) are independently associated with the CT-occult CLSCC and SEPL in the patients. Ultimately, the logistic model obtained is statistically significant (p < 0.05) and an area under the ROC curve is 0.776 (95% CI: 0.682-0.870). The sensitivity of this model is 90.2% and the specificity is 52.1%.

Conclusion: The results of this study indicate that in the CT value range [-950 ~ -750HU], when the total number of lung pixels tend to increase towards the region with high CT value, the probability of the occurrence of CT-occult CLSCC and SEPL lesions also increases. Meanwhile, these results have guiding significance for the further study of radiomic.