Analysis of the diagnostic and prognostic value of serum PAD2 in patients with sepsis in the intensive care unit

Background: Sepsis is a common disease in the intensive care unit (ICU). In recent years, the incidence rate and mortality rate remain high. Early diagnosis of sepsis is crucial for treatment and can effectively reduce mortality. So far, the ability of serum peptidylarginine deaminase 2 (PAD2) in the diagnosis and prognosis of sepsis patients is still unclear. We conducted this study to reveal the clinical value of PAD2 as a biomarker for sepsis patients.

Methods: A prospective study method was used to select 207 patients in the ICU of Renmin Hospital of Wuhan University from May 2022 to May 2023. They were divided into the sepsis group (n = 135) and control group (n = 72), and data were collected within 24 h of hospitalization. Sepsis patients were divided into a survival group (n = 80) and a non-survival group (n = 55) based on their 28-day survival status. Using statistical methods to evaluate the diagnostic and prognostic value of PAD2 in sepsis.

Results: The serum PAD2 concentrations in the sepsis group were significantly higher than in the control group (median 16.70 vs 35.32 ng/ml, P < 0.001). Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that the Quick Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (qSOFA), C-reactive protein (CRP), procalcitonin (PCT), and PAD2 were independent risk factors for sepsis. The Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve showed that the combined diagnostic value of qSOFA, CRP, PCT, and PAD2 was the highest. The serum PAD2 concentrations in the non-survival group of patients with sepsis were significantly higher than those in the survival group (median 29.26 vs 50.08 ng/ml, P < 0.05). The COX regression analysis showed that PAD2, sequential organ failure score Assessment (SOFA) score, and Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation (APACHE II) score were independent factors affecting the prognosis of sepsis patients. The ROC analysis showed that the combined prognostic value of PAD2, SOFA, and APACHE II scores was significantly higher than any single indicator. The Kaplan-Meier survival analysis showed that patients with PAD2 ≤ 48.62 ng/ml had a better prognosis.

Conclusion: The significant increase in serum PAD2 concentrations in patients is an independent risk factor affecting the occurrence of sepsis and 28-day mortality. The combination of PAD2 and other indicators can further improve the diagnostic and prognostic value for ICU sepsis patients.