Development of a genetic risk score for obesity predisposition evaluation

Obesity is a major public health issue resulting from an interaction between genetic and environmental factors. Genetic risk scores (GRSs) are useful to summarize the effects of many genetic variants on obesity risk. In this study, we aimed to assess the association of previously well-studied genetic variants with obesity and develop a genetic risk score to anticipate the risk of obesity development in the Iranian population. Among 968 participants, 599 (61.88%) were obese, and 369 (38.12%) were considered control samples. After genotyping, an initial screening of 16 variants associated with body mass index (BMI) was performed utilizing a general linear model (p < 0.25), and seven genetic variants were selected. The association of these variants with obesity was examined using a multivariate logistic regression model (p < 0.05), and finally, five variants were found to be significantly associated with obesity. Two gene score models (weighted and unweighted), including these five loci, were constructed. To compare the discriminative power of the models, the area under the curve was calculated using tenfold internal cross-validation. Among the studied variants, ADRB3 rs4994, FTO rs9939609, ADRB2 rs1042714, IL6 rs1800795, and MTHFR rs1801133 polymorphisms were significantly associated with obesity in the Iranian population. Both of the constructed models were significantly associated with BMI (p < 0.05) and the area under the mean curve of the weighted GRS and unweighted GRS were 70.22% ± 0.05 and 70.19% ± 0.05, respectively. Both GRSs proved to predict obesity and could potentially be utilized as genetic tools to assess the obesity predisposition in the Iranian population. Also, among the studied variants, ADRB3 rs4994 and FTO rs9939609 polymorphisms have the highest impacts on the risk of obesity.